Thursday, March 4, 2010

If the SEC Tourney were tonight...

Georgia is tied with South Carolina at 5-10 in SEC play. Because of tie-breaker rules, we would be the 5 seed in the East if the SEC Tourney were tonight.

We would fall to the sixth seed if South Carolina wins at Vanderbilt as we'd move to head to head tie breaker C, which gives the nod to the chickens based on their win over Kentucky.

Said differently:
    If UGA beats LSU and SC beats Vandy, UGA gets the 6 seed.
    If both UGA and SC both lose, we get the 5 seed.
    If UGA wins and SC loses, we get the 5 seed.
    If SC wins and UGA loses, we obviously get the 6 seed.
The most likely scenario is that both of us lose on the road or UGA wins and SC loses. In either of those scenarios, we're the 5 seed in the East. Which means our most likely tournament path would be:
    Round 1:
    E5 UGA vs. W4 (Alabama/Arkansas/Auburn)

    Round 2:
    E5 UGA vs. E1 Kentucky

    Round 3:
    E5 UGA vs. W2 (ARK or Ole Miss) or E3 Tennessee

    Round 4:
    E5 UGA vs. E2 Vandy, W1 MSU or E4 Florida
In other words, we got a brutal draw with UK in the 2nd round. Damn.

PWD

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